the obama campaign which had stumbles early on is performing and executing pretty well right now, both in message discipline from the candidate and their tv advertisements which even republicans will tell you are better than the romney ads right now. so you add all that up, significant execution by the obama campaign, an advantage, little bump out of the convention, sure, some of is dissipated but these little things have the race and this is from republicans i talk to in swing states, trickling toward the president. is it irreversible? absolutely not. there are some people in washington who say this is over. forget what they say. there's a big debate next week. governor romney right now as we speak and ari might say he doesn't trust this poll either runs even with the incumbent democrat when voters are asked who do you most trust to handle the economy. if the challenger in this economy can't get a lead on the president on that question, he won't win. >> ari, do you agree with that, on that key question? >> well, it all comes down to the sample size and the poll. again, if the polls ov